Law in Contemporary Society

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Introduction

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What are prediction markets?

How do they work?

What are they used for?

What is information aggregation?

 
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Prediction Markets and Judicial Decisions

Markets for Criminal Trials

Speculating about Guilt

Speculating about Verdicts

Speculating about Speculating

Markets for Supreme Court Cases

"Matters of Law"

Law by Consensus

Markets as Judges/Juries

Prediction Markets for World Events

Incentives for Sharing Information

Information as a Commodity

Hedging Uncertainty

Market Manipulating

Self-fulfilling Prediction Markets

Crazy Science Fiction-y Implications

Perception/Reality

Futarchy and Anarcho-Capitalism

Causal Determinism

Muss es sein?

Predicting/Controlling the Future

Sources

Wolfers Paper: http://www.nber.org/papers/w10504 Times Article: http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1118373-1,00.html Hanson Theory: http://hanson.gmu.edu/futarchy.html
 
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You are entitled to restrict access to your paper if you want to. But we all derive immense benefit from reading one another's work, and I hope you won't feel the need unless the subject matter is personal and its disclosure would be harmful or undesirable.

Revision 3r3 - 11 Feb 2008 - 00:42:43 - JuliaS
Revision 2r2 - 10 Feb 2008 - 01:14:32 - JuliaS
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