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| | Emerging Financial Organisms
Technology trends such as web-enabled cash micro-transactions, social networking with access control, and real time private company information will disrupt the opaqueness of the traditional finance industry. The power of the crowd can perfectly match demand and bring to life previously "unfundable" projects. Capital flows can bypass the broker-dealer all together, making financial power less concentrated in the hands of existing firms. Furthermore, the increasing automation of financial advisory services (see Axial Markets, Betterment, Credit Sesame), when combined with Big Data and free information, will transform the existing financial industry into a paradigm that better empowers people as creative individuals. Still, compliance and regulation are a huge barrier to innovation in the industry, and it is encouraging to see progress, however incremental.
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The essay is very interesting. It's not capable of bearing out its
promised subject, because in fact regulation isn't changing very much
at all, it turns out. Some bills that aren't going to pass have been
introduced, and the SEC's enforcement mechanisms—never very
quick in dealing with even small, let alone large,
offenders—have not yet done more than open some investigations
of "innovative" ways of putting investors at a disadvantage. In
reality, your essay demonstrates instead a smaller point:
disintermediation affects financial services businesses in the 21st
century, including investment intermediaries. Eventually, though
certainly not now or soon, those changes will imperatively require
modification of a regulatory system built in the 20th century to
constrain intermediaries in the interest of protecting investors.
This is undoubtedly correct, though there is ample evidence that your
focus is too narrow in that: (1) you manage to write about financial
regulation now without mentioning the larger and more well-known
controversies about recent changes in financial industry regulation;
and (2) you describe the changes that interest you primarily from a
single perspective only: that of someone trying to get investment in
a personal proprietary technology business. How the changes
occurring in the disintermediation process might affect the process
of achieving regulation's primary goal, the protection of investors,
is ignored altogether. Because investors don't need protection from
you, the implication seems to be, they don't need protection at
all, and if investing in your business can be made easier, then the
world as a whole is unambiguously better off.
As in your first essay, where too you were the measure of all things,
there is an appealing simplicity in this. If the primary questions
we should be dealing with concern not the three billion children who
cannot afford the price of education, but people like you who can
afford a copy of Photoshop, or whether you will be allowed to buy
your first Porsche out of your online series A funding, this scope of
analysis is sufficient. Although I'm surprised that you could revise
this work in May 2012 without removing the now-absurd references to
the "Facebook Era" in the obsoleting of securities regulation.
Perhaps that's what you thought last November, which would not be a
particularly strong evidence of your shrewdness even then; now the
failure to reconsider the tone makes you sound completely tone deaf
altogether.
A fuller account of the actual transformation of finance in the
Internet society you could not give in 1,000 words, I believe. It is
a severe enough criticism that this law school does not contain a
course that attempts such an account even in fourteen weeks. (Every
time I proposed to teach one, you will not be surprised to hear,
deans and senior incumbent teachers scurried around to make up
reasons to prevent me. A decade ago I gave up trying. In August
2008 I wrote and in September 2008 presented to the faculty a paper
mentioning the inevitability of a major investment bank collapse
within weeks or months, which had as little effect as though I had
read box scores from the 1923 World Series instead.) But you begin
your account in the middle of the weeds instead of at the top of the
course, where you could use your 1,000 words to explain major
architectural features rather than details. The proper place to
begin, I think, is with the disappearance of money. From there, the
central role of trust in exchange can be seen. This allows one to
begin the analysis of the economy in which money is simply digital
signatures indicative of trust in ability to exchange, and securities
are actually signed guesses about future "earnings," that is, trust
allocations from customers minus trust allocations to suppliers,
workers and trusters. Building up all the subsequent propositions is
somewhat intricate and subtle work; most existing "thinkers" find it
simpler to pay no attention whatever to the fundamental changes,
concentrating their attention altogether on minor,
previously-relevant details. You have acquired the habit honestly,
but it disserves you.
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